Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.320941 0.424265 0.537605 0.669221 0.816117 0.973515 1.153489
2025-08-17 0.152245 0.275296 0.429521 0.626496 0.862968 1.131012 1.451828
2025-08-24 0.069967 0.184319 0.348882 0.576752 0.865515 1.205445 1.624048
2025-08-31 0.030454 0.132627 0.304089 0.559677 0.898159 1.308188 1.823555
2025-09-07 0.012423 0.103654 0.282694 0.566560 0.955313 1.436033 2.048878
2025-09-14 0.002412 0.076322 0.255806 0.560281 0.991539 1.535429 2.237997
2025-09-21 NaN 0.051995 0.225693 0.543894 1.010573 1.610683 2.395711
2025-09-28 NaN 0.046608 0.230736 0.580404 1.101075 1.776111 2.663758
2025-10-05 NaN 0.044263 0.241498 0.625675 1.203649 1.957069 2.951194
2025-10-12 NaN 0.039705 0.245672 0.659621 1.290075 2.117182 3.212904
2025-10-19 NaN 0.040346 0.262626 0.714826 1.406742 2.316654 3.523866
2025-10-26 NaN 0.037054 0.268437 0.750980 1.496193 2.480840 3.791023
2025-11-02 NaN 0.027576 0.255529 0.756792 1.545672 2.597927 4.006191
2025-11-09 NaN 0.012727 0.214886 0.710174 1.517483 2.612741 4.093545
2025-11-16 NaN 0.003373 0.174629 0.657210 1.475526 2.606117 4.151056
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000582 0.154367 0.638845 1.483339 2.664371 4.289514
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000032 0.147330 0.646241 1.530227 2.775189 4.495101
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.134518 0.639505 1.554136 2.854164 4.659406
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.118039 0.621926 1.559549 2.906958 4.789335
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.125791 0.661071 1.656451 3.086481 5.083995
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.137407 0.709502 1.768511 3.287181 5.406391
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.143891 0.745747 1.860918 3.460746 5.693681
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.159898 0.804574 1.989926 3.685163 6.047230